PlayIconNav
BTC
$67,677.33+1.87%
ETH
$3,246.92+1.91%
BNB
$578.88+1.08%
SOL
$181.63+4.32%
XRP
$0.59760967-0.56%
DOGE
$0.13318644+4.60%
CD20
$2,284.78+2.72%
TON
$6.67+0.64%
ADA
$0.41368197+3.69%
TRX
$0.13763751+1.06%
AVAX
$28.57+4.71%
WBTC
$67,785.11+2.06%
Ad

Kalshi

PARIS, FRANCE - JULY 07: People are seen celebrating on the statue of Marianne on the Place de la Republique to celebrate after the Nouveau Front Populaire, an alliance of left wing parties including the far-left wing party, La France Insoumise came in first on July 07, 2024 in Paris, France. The National Rally party was expected to have a strong showing in the second round of France's legislative election, which was called by the French president last month after his party performed poorly in the European election, but first projections have shown an unexpected lead for French left wing alliance New Popular Front. (Photo by Remon Haazen/Getty Images)
News Analysis
Analysis
Prediction Markets and Polls Both Got the French Election Wrong
Plus: Polymarket traders remain skeptical about Biden's insistence he's staying in the U.S. presidential race; will ETH fall to $2,630?
PARIS, FRANCE - JULY 07: People are seen celebrating on the statue of Marianne on the Place de la Republique to celebrate after the Nouveau Front Populaire, an alliance of left wing parties including the far-left wing party, La France Insoumise came in first on July 07, 2024 in Paris, France. The National Rally party was expected to have a strong showing in the second round of France's legislative election, which was called by the French president last month after his party performed poorly in the European election, but first projections have shown an unexpected lead for French left wing alliance New Popular Front. (Photo by Remon Haazen/Getty Images)
By Sam Reynolds
Jul 8, 2024 at 2:03 p.m. UTC
Jul 8, 2024
AnalysisElection 2024ElectionsPrediction MarketsPolymarketKalshi
NEW YORK, NEW YORK - MAY 28: Former U.S. President Donald Trump sits in court during his trial for allegedly covering up hush money payments at Manhattan Criminal Court on May 28, 2024 in New York City. Donald Trump arrived for closing arguments in his hush money trial ahead of the jury deciding whether to make him the first criminally convicted former president and current White House hopeful in history. (Photo by Spencer Platt/Getty Images)
News Analysis
Analysis
Trump Conviction Barely Dents His Odds of Winning Election: Prediction Markets
Plus: Polymarket traders doubt Trump will go to prison; Kalshi bettors are at odds with the CME FedWatch poll on rate cuts.
NEW YORK, NEW YORK - MAY 28: Former U.S. President Donald Trump sits in court during his trial for allegedly covering up hush money payments at Manhattan Criminal Court on May 28, 2024 in New York City. Donald Trump arrived for closing arguments in his hush money trial ahead of the jury deciding whether to make him the first criminally convicted former president and current White House hopeful in history. (Photo by Spencer Platt/Getty Images)
By Sam Reynolds
Jun 3, 2024 at 11:29 p.m. UTC
Jun 3, 2024
AnalysisElection 2024Prediction MarketsPolymarketKalshi
Chairman Rostin Behnam's U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission proposed a rule Friday to ban certain event contracts in the U.S. (Jesse Hamilton/CoinDesk)
Policy
Regulations
U.S. CFTC Proposes Ban on Political Event Contracts
The U.S. derivatives regulator approved a proposed rule that punctuates a long-standing legal dispute between the agency and predictive markets platforms.
Chairman Rostin Behnam's U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission proposed a rule Friday to ban certain event contracts in the U.S. (Jesse Hamilton/CoinDesk)
By Jesse Hamilton
May 10, 2024 at 4:11 p.m. UTC
May 10, 2024
RegulationsPrediction MarketsPredictItKalshiPolymarketCommodity Futures Trading Commission
Tesla CEO Elon Musk speaks during an event to launch the new Tesla Model X Crossover SUV on September 29, 2015 in Fremont, California. After several production delays, Elon Mush officially launched the much anticipated Tesla Model X Crossover SUV. The
Markets
Analysis
Elon Musk Will Likely Remain Tesla CEO, and Tweet Non-Stop: Prediction Markets
Also: Trump faces likely conviction, per Polymarket punters; CFTC hearing to discuss political betting ban.
Tesla CEO Elon Musk speaks during an event to launch the new Tesla Model X Crossover SUV on September 29, 2015 in Fremont, California. After several production delays, Elon Mush officially launched the much anticipated Tesla Model X Crossover SUV. The
By Sam Reynolds
May 6, 2024 at 12:34 p.m. UTC
May 6, 2024
AnalysisPrediction MarketsTeslaElon MuskDonald TrumpPolymarketKalshiCFTC
Columbia University President Minouche Shafik, left (Alex Wong/Getty Images)
Markets
Analysis
Polymarket Odds Say Columbia University President Will Keep Job
Continuing pro-Palestine protests won't lead to Minouche Shafik having a fate similar to Claudine Gay, who was recently forced to resign as Harvard's president, the prediction...
Columbia University President Minouche Shafik, left (Alex Wong/Getty Images)
By Sam Reynolds
Apr 22, 2024 at 2:23 p.m. UTC
Apr 22, 2024
AnalysisPrediction MarketsPolymarketKalshi
Standard Chartered Bullish on Bitcoin; SOL Crosses $200 Amid Meme Coin Frenzy
Video
Cdtv
Standard Chartered Bullish on Bitcoin; SOL Crosses $200 Amid Meme Coin Frenzy
"CoinDesk Daily" host Jennifer Sanasie breaks down the biggest headlines impacting the crypto industry today, as Standard Chartered raised its year-end forecast for bitcoin's...
Standard Chartered Bullish on Bitcoin; SOL Crosses $200 Amid Meme Coin Frenzy
By CoinDesk Staff
Mar 18, 2024 at 3:37 p.m. UTC
Mar 18, 2024
cdtvSolanaSOLStandard charteredKalshiCd daily
Group portrait centered on Isadora Duncan, seated with her hands in her lap holding a crystal ball and gazing downwards. She is surrounded by six other female dancers who are posing in standing, kneeling, or sitting positions, and all gazing at her. In the background are four curtained windows and potted plants.
Finance
Exclusive
Prediction Market Kalshi to Take Bets on Crypto (Settled in Dollars)
The CFTC-regulated platform will let traders bet on how high ETH will go this year and other price outcomes amid renewed interest in both crypto and prediction markets.
Group portrait centered on Isadora Duncan, seated with her hands in her lap holding a crystal ball and gazing downwards. She is surrounded by six other female dancers who are posing in standing, kneeling, or sitting positions, and all gazing at her. In the background are four curtained windows and potted plants.
By Marc Hochstein
Mar 18, 2024 at 2:41 a.m. UTC
Mar 18, 2024
Exclusive Prediction MarketsKalshi
U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission Chairman Rostin Behnam says his agency is working on a new proposal for prediction markets regulation. (Jesse Hamilton/CoinDesk)
Policy
Regulations
U.S. CFTC's Behnam Says Agency Writing New Policy on Prediction Markets
Companies such as PredictIt and Kalshi would get "regulatory clarity" under rule in coming months, according to the chairman of the derivatives regulator.
U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission Chairman Rostin Behnam says his agency is working on a new proposal for prediction markets regulation. (Jesse Hamilton/CoinDesk)
By Jesse Hamilton
Mar 12, 2024 at 2:26 p.m. UTC
Mar 12, 2024
RegulationsKalshiPrediction MarketsPredictItPolymarketCommodity Futures Trading Commission
U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission Chairman Rostin Behnam says his agency still doesn't have the tools to prevent another FTX. (Jesse Hamilton/CoinDesk)
Policy
Regulations
CFTC Chief: Nothing Changed After FTX Meltdown to Empower Agency to Prevent Repeat
U.S. CFTC Chair Rostin Behnam says his agency is still awaiting new authorities from Congress to get supervision power over the crypto markets.
U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission Chairman Rostin Behnam says his agency still doesn't have the tools to prevent another FTX. (Jesse Hamilton/CoinDesk)
By Jesse Hamilton
Nov 15, 2023 at 4:11 p.m. UTC
Nov 15, 2023
RegulationsCommodity Futures Trading CommissionRostin BehmanSecurities and Exchange CommissionBitcoinETHKalshiPrediction MarketsLegislationFTX
Kalshi is suing the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission. (Jesse Hamilton/CoinDesk)
Policy
Regulations
Prediction Market Kalshi Sues U.S. CFTC for Denying Its Contracts for Congressional Elections
The CFTC denied a valid hedging option when it rebuffed a plan to offer event contracts for traders to bet on political outcomes, the company said.
Kalshi is suing the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission. (Jesse Hamilton/CoinDesk)
By Jesse Hamilton
Nov 1, 2023 at 10:42 p.m. UTC
Nov 1, 2023
RegulationsCongressPrediction MarketsKalshiCommodity Futures Trading Commissionlitigation