Crypto Traders Load Up on Bitcoin Topside Option Plays After Binance's Guilty Plea

We have seen interest in loading up more topside with strong demand for the March 2024 expiry calls, one OTC desk said.

AccessTimeIconNov 22, 2023 at 7:29 a.m. UTC
Updated Nov 28, 2023 at 11:38 p.m. UTC
10 Years of Decentralizing the Future
May 29-31, 2024 - Austin, TexasThe biggest and most established global hub for everything crypto, blockchain and Web3.Register Now

Binance chief Changpeng "CZ" Zhao on Tuesday stepped down and pleaded guilty to violating U.S. anti-money laundering laws as part of a $4.3 billion settlement, in what may come across as the most significant blow to the crypto market since the collapse of Sam Bankman-Fried's exchange FTX last year.

But that's certainly different from how traders look at the events.

According to over-the-counter institutional cryptocurrency trading network Paradigm, the options market has increased activity in topside bitcoin call options in the aftermath of the Binance news, a sign of persistent bullish sentiment.

"In the options space, after the initial two-way flow, we have seen interest in loading up more topside with strong demand for the March 2024 expiry [calls]," Patrick Chu, head of institutional sales coverage at Paradigm, told CoinDesk.

Market participants traded the $45,000 BTC March expiry call in large numbers early Wednesday. (Chang)
Market participants traded the $45,000 BTC March expiry call in large numbers early Wednesday. (Chang) (Chang)

Data shared by market analyst Chang shows that early Wednesday, market participants traded 550 contracts of BTC $45,000 strike call option expiring in March 2024 on Deribit. Buyers, expecting a continued price rally in bitcoin in the coming months, paid a cumulative premium of $1.5 million for the bullish bets. On Deribit, one options contract represents one BTC.

A call option is a contract between a buyer and a seller to purchase the underlying asset at a preset price on or before a specific date. A call buyer is implicitly bullish on the market, while a put buyer is bearish.

Call-put skews measure the cost of calls expiring across different maturities relative to puts. (Amberdata).
Call-put skews measure the cost of calls expiring across different maturities relative to puts. (Amberdata). (Amberdata)

Overall, both short-term and long-term calls continue to trade at a premium relative to puts, as evidenced by the positive call-put skews. It's a sign the market doesn't expect a significant fallout from Binance's guilty plea.

The sentiment is that U.S. regulators have cleaned up the industry, setting the stage for approving the first U.S.-based exchange-traded fund that invests in cryptocurrency. The so-called spot-based ETF is expected to bring billions in investor money to the crypto market.

Bitcoin is currently trading above $36,500, according to CoinDesk Indices data, down 2% on-day.

Edited by Sam Reynolds.

Disclosure

Please note that our privacy policy, terms of use, cookies, and do not sell my personal information has been updated.

CoinDesk is an award-winning media outlet that covers the cryptocurrency industry. Its journalists abide by a strict set of editorial policies. In November 2023, CoinDesk was acquired by the Bullish group, owner of Bullish, a regulated, digital assets exchange. The Bullish group is majority-owned by Block.one; both companies have interests in a variety of blockchain and digital asset businesses and significant holdings of digital assets, including bitcoin. CoinDesk operates as an independent subsidiary with an editorial committee to protect journalistic independence. CoinDesk employees, including journalists, may receive options in the Bullish group as part of their compensation.

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole is a Co-Managing Editor on CoinDesk's Markets team.


Learn more about Consensus 2024, CoinDesk's longest-running and most influential event that brings together all sides of crypto, blockchain and Web3. Head to consensus.coindesk.com to register and buy your pass now.