Bitcoin Breakout Above $31K Elusive as Shorts Pile In

Bitcoin has failed twice this week to scale the $31,000 mark, with open interest in stablecoin-margined futures rising on both occasions.

AccessTimeIconJul 13, 2023 at 7:18 a.m. UTC
Updated Jul 13, 2023 at 3:00 p.m. UTC
10 Years of Decentralizing the Future
May 29-31, 2024 - Austin, TexasThe biggest and most established global hub for everything crypto, blockchain and Web3.Register Now

Bitcoin (BTC) has failed twice this week to establish a foothold above $31,000. Data from Coinalyze shows futures traders are likely responsible for keeping the gains under check.

The first failed attempt on Monday at 20:05 UTC saw prices clock a high of $31,040 before quickly retreating back to $20,200 by 21:55 UTC. Open interest or the number of active stablecoin-margined (or linear) futures contracts tied to bitcoin rose from roughly 230,000 BTC to 242,000 BTC as prices pulled back from $31,040.

A rise in open interest alongside a decline in price is said to indicate an influx of bearish short positions in the market. Futures short positions are leveraged bets that profit from a decline in the underlying asset's price.

"Price action suggested shorts piling in as we approached $31,000," crypto liquidity network Paradigm said in a market update published Tuesday, drawing attention to the uptick in open interest as prices turned lower from $31,040.

BTC/USDT perp futures 5-minute candlestick chart and aggregated open interest in stablecoin-margined contracts. (Coinalyze)
BTC/USDT perp futures 5-minute candlestick chart and aggregated open interest in stablecoin-margined contracts. (Coinalyze) (Coinalyze)

A similar pattern was seen on Wednesday following the release of the softer-than-expected U.S. consumer price index (CPI) report that weakened the case for continued monetary tightening by the Federal Reserve.

Bitcoin printed a high of $31,000 immediately after the U.S. Labor Department released the CPI at 12:30 UTC only to fall back to $30,500 in the next one hour.

The retreat was once again accompanied by an increase in open interest in stablecoin-margined futures contracts.

The bearish activity around $31,000 has established the said level as key resistance to watch out for in the short-term. At press time, bitcoin changed hands at $30,350, per CoinDesk data.

Edited by Shaurya Malwa.

Disclosure

Please note that our privacy policy, terms of use, cookies, and do not sell my personal information has been updated.

CoinDesk is an award-winning media outlet that covers the cryptocurrency industry. Its journalists abide by a strict set of editorial policies. In November 2023, CoinDesk was acquired by the Bullish group, owner of Bullish, a regulated, digital assets exchange. The Bullish group is majority-owned by Block.one; both companies have interests in a variety of blockchain and digital asset businesses and significant holdings of digital assets, including bitcoin. CoinDesk operates as an independent subsidiary with an editorial committee to protect journalistic independence. CoinDesk employees, including journalists, may receive options in the Bullish group as part of their compensation.

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole is a Co-Managing Editor on CoinDesk's Markets team.


Learn more about Consensus 2024, CoinDesk's longest-running and most influential event that brings together all sides of crypto, blockchain and Web3. Head to consensus.coindesk.com to register and buy your pass now.