First Mover Asia: Bitcoin Has Reached 'a General Accumulation Phase': Analyst

ALSO: BTC-20 tokens are pushing toward a $500 million market cap, and data from Glassnode shows that they have been a boon for miners.

AccessTimeIconJun 2, 2023 at 1:42 a.m. UTC
Updated Jun 7, 2023 at 5:12 p.m. UTC
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Good morning. Here’s what’s happening:

Prices: Bitcoin remained below $27K, but an analyst says that the largest crypto by market value is in an "accumulation phase."

Insights: BRC-20 tokens reach toward a $500 million market cap, and Glassnode data shows that they continue to be a lucrative source of fees for miners.

Prices

1,164
−13.3 1.1%
$26,835
−317.2 1.2%
$1,869
−9.2 0.5%
S&P 500
4,221.02
+41.2 1.0%
Gold
$1,993
+28.6 1.5%
Nikkei 225
31,148.01
+260.1 0.8%
BTC/ETH prices per CoinDesk Indices, as of 7 a.m. ET (11 a.m. UTC)
CoinDesk Market Index (CMI)
1,164 −13.3 1.1%
Bitcoin (BTC)
$26,835 −317.2 1.2%
Ethereum (ETH)
$1,869 −9.2 0.5%
S&P 500
4,221.02 +41.2 1.0%
Gold
$1,993 +28.6 1.5%
Nikkei 225
31,148.01 +260.1 0.8%
BTC/ETH prices per CoinDesk Indices, as of 7 a.m. ET (11 a.m. UTC)

Bitcoin Hits an "Accumulation Phase"

Crypto prices remained lethargic as Asia markets opened Friday.

Bitcoin was recently trading at about $26,835, roughly flat over the previous four hours but down 1.2% from Wednesday, same time, according to CoinDesk Indexes. The largest cryptocurrency has seemed almost entirely unaffected by the Wednesday, late-night U.S. House vote to pass a debt ceiling increase that would ensure the government can pay its bills, at least short-term. The Senate will likely vote on the bill late Thursday night (ET).

But in an email to CoinDesk, Bob Baxley, the CTO of DeFi infrastructure platform Maverick Protocol, wrote that crypto markets may now have to reckon with a U.S. Treasury having to replenish its general account, which has shrunk in recent months. That could sap liquidity otherwise available for digital asset investments.

“The risk here is that the roughly trillion dollars flowing back into the general account could suck a tremendous amount of liquidity out of the market," Baxley wrote. "Something like this happened in 2019, and the strain placed on the market basically compelled the Federal Reserve to step in and add emergency liquidity to prevent a full-blown crisis. So, in short, just because a deal has been reached doesn’t mean we are out of the woods yet."

Ether, the second largest crypto in market value, was recently trading at about $1860, up 0.6% over the past 24 hours. ETH spent part of Thursday in the green on a day when most assets dithered in negative territory. GRT, the token of the The Graph indexing protocol and popular memecoin SHIB tumbled more than 7% and 4%, respectively. But litecoin continued its recent winning ways to rise more than 3%. LTC has risen 7.5% over the past 30 days as investors eyed its halving two months away and increased trading activity.

In its opening hour Friday, the Nikkei Index rose about 0.6%. U.S. equities closed largely up, despite ongoing concerns about the inflation and the potential for more hawkish interest rate hikes this year.

Maverick's Baxley wrote optimistically that crypto investors seem "to be a general accumulation phase."

"The moving averages are pointing to neutral or perhaps a little more bullish, suggesting that we are in the process of building another foundation for another leg upwards," he wrote, noting that markets had already priced in potential U.S. central bank rate hikes, which in the past have shaken prices.

He added: "What matters most in this day and age is liquidity. And much of what plays out in the coming weeks likely depends on how carefully the Treasury can carry out its replenishing process. Most investors are taking a rather cautious approach right now as a result, I suspect.”

Biggest Gainers

Asset Ticker Returns DACS Sector
Decentraland MANA +2.2% Entertainment
Gala GALA +1.6% Entertainment
Avalanche AVAX +0.6% Smart Contract Platform

Biggest Losers

Asset Ticker Returns DACS Sector
Shiba Inu SHIB −3.3% Currency
Loopring LRC −2.4% Smart Contract Platform
Chainlink LINK −1.7% Computing

Insights

BRC-20 tokens are pushing toward a market cap of $500 million, and new data from Glassnode shows that they continue to be a lucrative source of fees for miners.

According to on-chain data, inscriptions now account for 25% of all transaction fees and roughly 40% of all transactions on the Bitcoin blockchain.

(Glassnode)
(Glassnode)
(Glassnode)
(Glassnode)

While inscriptions remain controversial within the broader bitcoin community, for miners they’ve been a boon.

A miner's revenue comprises two elements: block rewards, currently 6.25 BTC ($167,709), and transaction fees that fluctuate based on network demand, with fees traditionally being lower than rewards since 2017.

Data from CryptoQuant shows that the fees-to-reward ratio for bitcoin miners has swung in favor of miners thanks to inscriptions and ordinals.

(CryptoQuant)
(CryptoQuant)

The fees-to-reward ratio is up to 7.22%, compared to an average of around 2-3% earlier this year.

As an example of how this is helping miners’ bottom line, over the last three months, bitcoin has risen 16% while Valkeryie’s mining ETF, WGMI, is up a whopping 42%.

However, this might not last forever, as the unexpected surge in miners' revenue may be short-lived due to high transaction fees driving users toward alternatives like the Lightning Network and stablecoins.

It didn’t go unnoticed when Binance had to pause withdrawals twice in one day.

Important events.

8:30 p.m. HKT/SGT(12:30 UTC) United States Nonfarm Payrolls (May)

8:30 p.m. HKT/SGT(12:30 UTC) United States Unemployment Rate (May)

CoinDesk TV

In case you missed it, here is the most recent episode of "First Mover" on CoinDesk TV:

Bitcoin (BTC) and the broad cryptocurrency market sold off for the second consecutive day on Thursday, with fears over inflation and continued rate hikes resurfacing. Todd Groth, CFA, CoinDesk Indices head of index research, shared his crypto markets analysis. Plus, InvestHK head of financial services and fintech King Leung discussed Hong Kong's state of crypto as the country's securities regulator begins accepting applications for crypto trading platform licenses. And, Nestcoin co-founder Yele Bademosi shared his reaction to crypto adoption and innovation in Nigeria.

Headlines

MakerDAO Paves Way for Additional $1.28B U.S. Treasury Purchase: The protocol’s community voted for onboarding a new real-world asset vault that would invest up to the additional amount in U.S. Treasury bonds.

Nike Is Bringing Its .SWOOSH NFTs to EA Sports Games: The sportswear giant and game publisher Electronic Arts are partnering to build new immersive experiences in the EA Sports gaming ecosystem.

As Multichain Wobbles, Some Fantom-Based DeFi Projects Flee Bridged Tokens: The actions showcase how Multichain’s faltering infrastructure and AWOL CEO are sending shockwaves through Fantom, the blockchain most heavily dependent on Multichain’s bridges.

GameStop Teams Up with The Telos Foundation to Grow Web3 Gaming Strategy: The leading game retailer will distribute Telos-based games on its forthcoming Web3 gaming launchpad, GameStop Playr.

Sui Blockchain Signs Multiyear Deal With Red Bull Racing: Sui will roll out a series of digital experience for racing fans over the coming months.

Bitcoin Miner CleanSpark Buys 12,500 Bitmain Machines for $40.5M: The company has been busy scooping up assets during the crypto bear market, but discounts may be slimming.

This article was written and edited by CoinDesk journalists with the sole purpose of informing the reader with accurate information. If you click on a link from Glassnode, CoinDesk may earn a commission. For more, see our Ethics Policy.

Edited by James Rubin.

Disclosure

Please note that our privacy policy, terms of use, cookies, and do not sell my personal information has been updated.

CoinDesk is an award-winning media outlet that covers the cryptocurrency industry. Its journalists abide by a strict set of editorial policies. In November 2023, CoinDesk was acquired by the Bullish group, owner of Bullish, a regulated, digital assets exchange. The Bullish group is majority-owned by Block.one; both companies have interests in a variety of blockchain and digital asset businesses and significant holdings of digital assets, including bitcoin. CoinDesk operates as an independent subsidiary with an editorial committee to protect journalistic independence. CoinDesk employees, including journalists, may receive options in the Bullish group as part of their compensation.

James Rubin

James Rubin was CoinDesk's U.S. news editor based on the West Coast.


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