Silvergate is a key banking partner to many digital asset firms, and its SEN platform has been a widely used vehicle for institutional investors to send money to crypto exchanges. As the bank delayed filing its annual report last week and warned about possible regulatory inquiries, multiple firms, including Coinbase, Circle, Paxos, Binance.US, Galaxy Digital and Gemini suspended transfers and operations with Silvergate.
“With the death of SEN, stablecoins will likely become even more ubiquitous among traders,” the Kaiko report said.
Instead of depositing dollars to crypto exchanges using banking rails, Kaiko predicts that traders will transfer money to stablecoin issuers to get stablecoins, and then deposit stablecoins to exchanges.
“The problem is, though, that stablecoin issuers still need access to a crypto bank, so the risk is now further concentrated,” the report added.
Decline of U.S. dollars in trading
Of particular note, the role of the U.S. dollar in crypto trading has been dropping steadily. Last year, the number of new dollar trading pairs on exchanges fell to 326 from 400 in 2021, Kaiko data shows.
“Since the FTX collapse, USD market share has fallen consistently relative to USDT, USDC and euro trading pairs,” the report said.
For instance, USDT’s dominance in bitcoin (BTC) trading volumes has recently reached an all-time high of 93% versus the U.S. dollar, according to Kaiko, a spectacular rise from only 3% in 2017.
“For now, the dollar and dollar-pegged stablecoins remain the foundation of the crypto-economy, but growing complications with USD payment rails could upend this trend,” the report said.
Read more: Crypto’s Banking Problem Is Not Ironic
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