Most cryptocurrencies traded higher on Friday as bearish sentiment waned. It appears that short-term buyers have returned from the sidelines, although technical indicators show limited upside from here.
Bitcoin (BTC) returned toward the $30,000 price level and was up by as much as 5% over the past 24 hours. Still, momentum signals remain negative on the charts after BTC's 17% dip over the past week.
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Meanwhile, the Terra blockchain resumed activity on Friday following a nine-hour halt. The LUNA token continued to trade below 1 cent at the time the network was halted.
Also, on Friday, the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust's (GBTC) discount widened to an all-time low of 30.79%. The recent crypto sell-off also may have contributed to a wider GBTC discount. (Grayscale is a CoinDesk sister company.)
●Bitcoin (BTC): $29,980, +5.17%
●Ether (ETH): $2,057, +6.60%
●S&P 500 daily close: $4,024, +2.39%
●Gold: $1,808 per troy ounce, −0.88%
●Ten-year Treasury yield daily close: 2.94%
Bitcoin, ether and gold prices are taken at approximately 4pm New York time. Bitcoin is the CoinDesk Bitcoin Price Index (XBX); Ether is the CoinDesk Ether Price Index (ETX); Gold is the COMEX spot price. Information about CoinDesk Indices can be found at coindesk.com/indices.
Fewer crypto traders sought refuge in stablecoins during the recent market sell-off. That suggests investors are starting to exit crypto markets.
The chart below, provided by Glassnode, shows the 30-day change in aggregate stablecoin supply (blue) alongside the contribution by stablecoin USDC (red). Since last May, USDC has been a significant contributor to total stablecoin supply growth. Recently, however, USDC has been the primary stablecoin asset experiencing redemption.
Stablecoin supply contraction signals a degree of net capital outflow from the cryptocurrency industry at large, according to Glassnode. "Overall, there are a number of signals of net weakness in the space, many of which indicate that risk-off sentiment remains the core market position at this time," Glassnode wrote in a blog post.
Interestingly, Tether's USDT has seen its supply continue to expand over the same period of USDC outflows. But since the start of April the aggregate stablecoin supply has plateaued.
It remains to be seen if trust in stablecoins will return following Terra's faulty experiment using algorithms. Some stablecoin issuers have assured market participants that not all stablecoins are the same (some are backed by cash-like instruments, while others try to maintain their value based on an algorithm that balances the stablecoin with a partner token). But recent episodes have exposed instability in the so-called stable corner of the crypto universe.
Limited upside ahead
For now, cryptos could face additional volatility ahead, which could keep some buyers on the sidelines (in stablecoins or cash).
Despite the recent price bounce, bitcoin's forward returns following a peak-to-trough decline of 55% or more tend to be flat or negative over the following six months, according to Delphi Digital.
- LUNA exchange-traded product issuances halted: VanEck, Valour and 21Shares, all of which offer LUNA-related exchanged-traded products (ETP) in Europe, suspended issuing shares, citing the network’s recent issues, which include two complete shutdowns of the purportedly decentralized network. All three products lost close to 100% this week. Read more here.
- Do Kwon’s Terra revival plan: A “Revival Plan” was submitted Friday by the Terraform Labs CEO. It's essentially a restart of the entire Terra blockchain, with network ownership getting distributed entirely to UST and LUNA holders through one billion new tokens. The plan comes as Terra’s terraUSD (UST) stablecoin, which is supposed to be pegged to the price of $1, “death spiraled” below 15 cents this week – wiping out over $30 billion in value. Read more here.
- ADA price jump: Cardano’s ADA token jumped as much as 40% over the past 24 hours, leading gains among the biggest cryptocurrencies. The cryptocurrency is still down by 82% from its all-time high of $3.10, achieved in September of last year. Some analysts have attributed recent gains to a short-squeeze rally, which occurs when a large number of short sellers exit their positions.
- Listen 🎧: With crypto markets trading in the green after a deep slump, the CoinDesk Markets Daily podcast team takes a look at how one of crypto’s most ardent critics is now building something like a blockchain.
- Coinbase, MicroStrategy and Other Crypto Stocks Finally See Some Relief After Recent Losses: Shares of many crypto-related stocks had been battered during the week.
- Grayscale Bitcoin Trust Discount Widens to All-Time Low of 30.79%: The fund is one of the few ways for stock traders in the U.S. to gain exposure to the price movements of bitcoin.
- Nomura Starts Trading Crypto Derivatives, Joining Rivals Goldman, JPMorgan: Nomura carried out bitcoin futures and options trades with derivatives exchange CME Group (CME) and crypto market maker Cumberland DRW.
- Elon Musk Says He's Committed to Twitter Deal After Putting It on Hold: The landmark deal under which Tesla (TSLA) CEO Elon Musk buys Twitter (TWTR) and takes it private hit a stumbling block after Musk said he wants to verify the number of fake accounts.
- Galaxy Digital Sees Quarter-to-Date Loss of $300M: The Mike Novogratz-led firm said it has a liquidity position of around $1.6 billion, split 50-50 between cash and net digital assets.
Most digital assets in the CoinDesk 20 ended the day higher.
Sector classifications are provided via the Digital Asset Classification Standard (DACS), developed by CoinDesk Indices to provide a reliable, comprehensive and standardized classification system for digital assets. The CoinDesk 20 is a ranking of the largest digital assets by volume on trusted exchanges.
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