Market Wrap: Bitcoin at $51K as the Bulls Return

Sentiment significantly improved over the past week, signaling a shift away from market panic.

AccessTimeIconOct 5, 2021 at 9:46 p.m. UTC
Updated Apr 10, 2024 at 1:54 a.m. UTC

Bitcoin is trading around $51,400, which analysts consider a positive milestone after last month’s crypto sell-off. BTC is up about 22% over the past week and has decoupled from slumping global equities.

Sentiment on bitcoin significantly improved over the past week, signaling a shift away from market panic, according to the Fear and Greed Index. Technical indicators are also showing improving short-term momentum, which is consistent with rising bullish sentiment.

“We expect short-term overbought conditions to be weathered long enough for a test of minor resistance near $52.9K, a breakout above which would target the all-time high,” Katie Stockton, managing director of Fairlead Strategies, a technical research firm, wrote in a Monday newsletter.

“The move up was leverage driven, with the end of October being the highest point of the futures curve for BTC,” QCP Capital, a crypto trading firm, wrote in a Telegram announcement on Tuesday. “We could potentially see more short squeeze if spot BTC legs up higher.”

Latest Prices

  • Bitcoin (BTC), $51,215, +4.0%
  • Ether (ETH), $3,490, +2.4%
  • S&P 500: +1.1%
  • Gold: $1,762, -0.4%
  • 10-year Treasury yield closed at 1.527%

Fresh off the presses

Check out the latest quarterly report from CoinDesk Research, which outlines growing market interest in crypto from institutions, retail investors and regulators.

Bullish sentiment returns

The bitcoin Fear and Greed index is rising from a low point last month, suggesting that investors are less fearful during the latest price recovery. Historically, extreme lows in the Fear and Greed Index precede price rebounds similar to July, when BTC traders exited short positions.

On the flip side, extreme bullish sentiment could lead to a price pullback, although the Fear and Greed index is still below highs reached earlier this year.

“After three weeks of fear, [the index] shot up during the first days of October when the bitcoin price appreciated and is now signaling a greedy market sentiment,” Arcane Research wrote in a Tuesday report.

Bitcoin supply in profit

Roughly 10% of the circulating BTC supply returned to an unrealized profit (above cost basis), according to blockchain data compiled by Glassnode.

“We can therefore deduce, that alongside the $29K to $40K range in May-July, the recent lows of $40K to $41K represented a significant ‘value add’ zone for buyers who stepped in and purchased to set a price floor,” the firm wrote in a blog post.

Additionally, short-term holders, or those who purchased BTC within the last 155 days, are recovering previous losses. “As a larger portion of the market returns to profit, it creates incentives for some investors to take profits,” Glassnode wrote. Some BTC investors could also decide to hold long positions for continued upside this year.

Bitcoin percent of supply in profit (Glassnode)

Altcoin roundup

  • Axie Infinity creator closes $152 million Series B round led by Andreessen Horowitz: On Tuesday, Axie’s creator, Vietnam-based Sky Mavis, announced it had raised a $152 million Series B round at a $3 billion valuation, led by venture capital firm Andreessen Horowitz. The company said it plans to use the funds to build out its own distribution platform to support outside developers in creating blockchain-enabled games, as well as expand its team and scaling infrastructure. Axie’s AXS token was trading at approximately $130 Tuesday afternoon, down from a high of $154 earlier this week.
  • THORSwap DEX raises $3.75 million as multi-chain DeFi heats up: THORSwap, a cross-chain decentralized exchange (DEX) built on THORChain, has raised $3.75 million in a private token sale led by IDEO CoLab Ventures, reported CoinDesk’s Helene Braun. “Unlocking cross-chain liquidity will be critical to the future of decentralized finance,” Han Kao, founder of Sanctor Capital, said. Funding will go towards the app’s development and expanding of operational resources as well as the launch of new products.
  • NFT trading volume surges 700% to $10.7B in Q3: Trading in non-fungible tokens (NFT) climbed to $10.7 billion in the third quarter, an increase of more than 700% from the previous quarter, according to a report by blockchain analytics firm DappRadar. Growth was powered by a record-breaking August, which saw over $5.2 billion in trading volume, reported CoinDesk’s Jamie Crawley. DappRadar said that “there is not a single but multiple reasons” for the surge. One of these is the way in which NFT projects are “becoming brands,” with celebrities such as rapper Snoop Dogg and Hall of Fame basketball player Shaquille O’Neal putting their names to communities, strengthening the social aspect of NFTs.

Relevant news

Other markets

Most digital assets in the CoinDesk 20 ended the day higher.

Notable winners as of 21:00 UTC (4:00 p.m. ET):

  • Dogecoin (DOGE), +12.3%
  • Bitcoin cash (BCH), +6.8%

Notable losers:

  • Algorand (ALGO), -2.3%
  • Uniswap (UNI), -0.8%


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Damanick Dantes

Damanick was a crypto market analyst at CoinDesk where he wrote the daily Market Wrap and provided technical analysis. He is a Chartered Market Technician designation holder and member of the CMT Association. Damanick is also a portfolio strategist and does not invest in digital assets.

Tracy Wang

Tracy was the deputy managing editor at CoinDesk. She owns BTC, ETH, MINA, ENS and some NFTs.