Bitcoin's RSI Warns of Fading Bull Momentum Even as Price Nears Record High

RSI's bearish divergence indicates uptrend fatigue and suggests scope for a bull market correction.

Mar 12, 2021 at 1:09 p.m. UTC
Updated Sep 14, 2021 at 12:25 p.m. UTC

A widely tracked technical indicator is signaling a weakening of upward momentum amid bitcoin's renewed push toward record highs.

The 14-week relative strength index (RSI), a momentum indicator, has formed a lower high this year, decoupling from the continued uptrend in prices for bitcoin (BTC).

The RSI's bearish divergence indicates uptrend fatigue and suggests scope for a bull market correction.

Bitcoin weekly charts

The cryptocurrency fell sharply following the confirmation of RSI's bearish divergence in February 2017 and August 2017 (above right).

Bitcoin peaked at $13,880 in June 2019 with a bearish divergence on the weekly chart. That resistance was topped in October 2020 (above right).

The leading cryptocurrency is currently trading at $56,500, for a 95% year-to-date gain, having narrowly missed on Thursday the record high of $58,332 reached Feb. 17.

A convincing move above the psychological resistance of $60,000 would likely lift the RSI above its down trendline. That would invalidate the bearish divergence and may invite stronger chart-driven buying pressure.

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