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A ‘Santa Claus Rally’ for the Stock Market?

Since 1969, 34 out of 45 years have seen a late December rally. Here are 5 reasons why that might not happen this year.

CoinDesk Insights
Dec 4, 2020 at 8:00 p.m. UTC
Updated Sep 14, 2021 at 10:38 a.m. UTC

Since 1969, 34 out of 45 years have seen a late December rally. Here are 5 reasons why a Santa Claus rally might not happen this year.

For more episodes and free early access before our regular 3 p.m. Eastern time releases, subscribe with Apple Podcasts, Spotify, Pocketcasts, Google Podcasts, Castbox, Stitcher, RadioPublica, iHeartRadio or RSS.

This episode is sponsored by Crypto.com, Nexo.io and this week's special product launch, Allnodes.

Today on the Brief:

  • Payrolls report underperforms expectations
  • Spotify looking for crypto director
  • Lame-duck crypto legislation on the way? 

Our main discussion: Will we see a “Santa Claus rally” this year? 

This kind of rally refers to the fact that in about two-thirds of years since 1969, late December has seen a stock market rally, averaging a 1.4% gain. 

This year, vaccine optimism combined with new stimulus seems poised to once again jingle Wall Street’s bells. A piece in Bloomberg, however, provides five charts and reasons why this market rally is already overbought and overblown, so this year might be more coal than eggnog.

For more episodes and free early access before our regular 3 p.m. Eastern time releases, subscribe with Apple Podcasts, Spotify, Pocketcasts, Google Podcasts, Castbox, Stitcher, RadioPublica, iHeartRadio or RSS.

DISCLOSURE

The leader in news and information on cryptocurrency, digital assets and the future of money, CoinDesk is a media outlet that strives for the highest journalistic standards and abides by a strict set of editorial policies. CoinDesk is an independent operating subsidiary of Digital Currency Group, which invests in cryptocurrencies and blockchain startups.

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