Bitcoin's Correlation With Gold Hits Record High

Bitcoin is now more closely tied to safe haven gold than ever.

Sep 9, 2020 at 11:40 a.m. UTC
Updated Sep 14, 2021 at 9:53 a.m. UTC

Bitcoin is now more closely tied to safe haven gold than ever, possibly bringing the cryptocurrency greater resilience to risk aversion in the traditional markets.

  • The 60-day correlation between the two assets is hovering at record highs above 0.5, according to Coin Metrics data.
  • The positive correlation has strengthened sharply since the beginning of July, as the U.S. dollar started taking a beating against other major currencies.
  • The sell-off in the greenback, the global reserve currency, is seen as boding well for scarce assets like bitcoin and gold.

Bitcoin-gold correlation

  • The strengthening of the positive correlation appears to validate the popular narrative that bitcoin is a store of value and a haven asset. Some investors believe it is sound money, like gold.
  • As such, the cryptocurrency's sensitivity to movements in risk assets, mainly equities, could lessen.
  • Bitcoin defended the $10,000 support for the fifth straight day on Monday, despite losses on Wall Street. 
  • The repeated defense of the critical support, coupled with several bullish developments in on-chain metrics, suggests scope for a recovery rally.
  • Bitcoin's hashrate, or computing power, has risen to fresh record highs near 150 exahashes per second, according to Glassnode.
  • That suggests miners remain unfazed by bitcoin's recent decline from $12,400 to $10,000.
  • Further, the percentage of bitcoin unmoved in over three years has hit a two-year high of 30.91%, according to data source Glassnode.
  • "It suggests an increase in the holding mentality," Simon Peters, a crypto-asset analyst at multi-asset investment platform eToro, said in an email.
  • "The recent drop represents overselling and buyers may soon step back in again," Peters added.
  • The cryptocurrency is trading near $10,200 at time of writing, representing a 0.7% gain on the day.
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