Bitcoin Futures Interest Soars as Bond Yields Fall to Record Lows: Industry Exec

Surging open interest in crypto derivatives suggests investors are seeking alpha in other investments, like bitcoin, said the co-founder of an index fund provider.

AccessTimeIconAug 4, 2020 at 12:20 p.m. UTC
Updated Sep 14, 2021 at 9:39 a.m. UTC

Bitcoin futures are drawing record interest as investment opportunities in traditional markets dry up, said the co-founder of an institutional fund provider.

  • Open interest, or open positions, in futures listed on major exchanges reached a new lifetime high of $5.6 billion on Saturday, surpassing the previous record of $5.36 billion in February, according to data source Skew
  • As of Monday, aggregate open interest was $5 billion, up 66% from the July low of $3 billion.
  • Open interest in futures on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME), synonymous with institutional investors, jumped to a record high of $828 million on Monday.
  • CME's open interest has surged 127% over the past 2.5 weeks alongside bitcoin's quick rise from $9,100 to $11,100.
  • “The rise in open interest represents an accumulation of long positions by institutional traders,” said Matthew Dibb, the co-founder and COO of Stack, an institutional provider of cryptocurrency trackers and index funds.
CME open interest
CME open interest
  • Dibb said the rise in open interest in crypto derivatives suggests investors are looking for alpha – the best returns – in alternative markets as equities look overbought and bond yields move into negative territory.
  • The U.S. 10-year Treasury note is offering a yield of 0.54% at press time with the real or inflation-adjusted bill at a record low of -1%.
  • Similar bonds in Germany, Japan and Switzerland are offering negative yields, according to TradingView data.
  • As a potential macro hedge, Dibb expects bitcoin to break into multi-year highs as the global economy worsens and investors become steadily confident in moving value from traditional markets into the digital asset space.
  • Bitcoin's price is largely unchanged at $11,290; technical bias remains bullish with prices holding well above the support line at $10,500, the February high.

DISCLOSURE

Please note that our privacy policy, terms of use, cookies, and do not sell my personal information has been updated.

The leader in news and information on cryptocurrency, digital assets and the future of money, CoinDesk is a media outlet that strives for the highest journalistic standards and abides by a strict set of editorial policies. CoinDesk is an independent operating subsidiary of Digital Currency Group, which invests in cryptocurrencies and blockchain startups. As part of their compensation, certain CoinDesk employees, including editorial employees, may receive exposure to DCG equity in the form of stock appreciation rights, which vest over a multi-year period. CoinDesk journalists are not allowed to purchase stock outright in DCG.


Learn more about Consensus 2024, CoinDesk’s longest-running and most influential event that brings together all sides of crypto, blockchain and Web3. Head to consensus.coindesk.com to register and buy your pass now.