Bitcoin Price Now On Pace to Post Worst Month in 2018

Bitcoin's sell-off has accelerated and put the cryptocurrency on pace to record its worst monthly performance of the year.

AccessTimeIconNov 20, 2018 at 4:10 p.m. UTC
Updated Sep 13, 2021 at 8:36 a.m. UTC
Alex Thorn
Head of Firmwide Research
Galaxy
Hear Alex Thorn share his take on "Bitcoin and Inflation: It’s Complicated” at Consensus 2023.
Alex Thorn
Head of Firmwide Research
Galaxy
Consensus 2023 Logo
Hear Alex Thorn share his take on "Bitcoin and Inflation: It’s Complicated” at Consensus 2023.
Alex Thorn
Head of Firmwide Research
Galaxy
Hear Alex Thorn share his take on "Bitcoin and Inflation: It’s Complicated” at Consensus 2023.
Alex Thorn
Head of Firmwide Research
Galaxy
Consensus 2023 Logo
Hear Alex Thorn share his take on "Bitcoin and Inflation: It’s Complicated” at Consensus 2023.

Bitcoin’s drop to 13-month lows has likely put the cryptocurrency on the path to post its worst monthly loss of 2018.

The leading cryptocurrency is currently trading at roughly $4,700 – down roughly 26 percent from the monthly opening price of $6,320 – according to CoinDesk market data.

As of now, November is the second-worst month of 2018, the first being March with a 32 percent price drop. November, however, would take the top spot if prices find acceptance below $4,200, pushing the monthly loss above 32 percent.

Indeed, BTC could regain some poise in the next ten days, as the record low on the 14-day relative strength index (RSI) is signaling extreme oversold conditions. In that case, November may become the second-worst month of the year or may even slip lower. However, a monthly loss looks like a done deal as a rally all the way back to $6,320 is unlikely to happen in the near-term.

This is because the demand side pressures may have weakened significantly in the last few days.

Moreover, a significant majority was expecting BTC to end its prolonged period of consolidation with a bullish breakout. The cryptocurrency, however, fell below $6,000 –  a level where prices had supposedly carved out a long-term bottom – trapping many on the wrong side of the market.

Bitcoin November performance

As seen above, BTC scored gains in November in the last six years, including a 53.8 percent gain last year that saw the 2017 bull run accelerating as 2018 approached. As the data indicates, that winning streak is on pace to end this year.

Disclosure: The author holds no cryptocurrency assets at the time of writing.

 boat, sink image via Shutterstock; 

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