Back at $1,500: Bitcoin Cash Could See Further Dip

Technical analysis suggests that bitcoin cash could see a further decline ahead, but that bull scenarios are also in play.

Jan 26, 2018 at 3:35 p.m. UTC
Updated Sep 13, 2021 at 7:29 a.m. UTC

Bitcoin cash (BCH) is trading on the back foot today, with technical analysis suggesting the market risks a bearish breakdown over the weekend.

At press time, the cryptocurrency has depreciated by 7 percent in the last 24 hours, according to data source OnChinaFX. On Bitfinex, the largest market for BCH/USD trading, bitcoin cash fell to $1,479 today; its lowest level against the dollar since Jan. 17. As of writing, it is trading at $1,599.

The development follows a sharp recovery from the Jan. 17 low of $1,343, which witnessed a follow-through buying in the subsequent days. However, the move ran out of steam at a high of $2,110 on Jan. 20 and BCH turned lower again, thus creating a lower high pattern (bearish pattern) on the charts.

That said, the 7 percent drop seen today is largely in line with the weakness in other cryptocurrencies.

For instance, BCH's rival bitcoin (BTC) has dropped by 5 percent in the last 24 hours. Further, Ripple's XRP token and Stellar's XLM token are down 8 percent each, while ethereum's ETH cryptocurrency is down 2 percent.

Bitcoin cash chart

The above chart (prices as per Bitfinex) shows:

  • BCH is creating head and shoulders bearish reversal pattern. A close (as per UTC) below the neckline would confirm a long-term bullish-to-bearish trend change.
  • 50-day MA has shed bullish bias (topped out).
  • Falling channel marked by downward sloping trendlines representing lower highs and lower lows.
  • The relative strength index also favors the bears.


Confirmation of head and shoulders breakdown (close below $1,398 - neckline support) would open doors for a drop to $1,100 (Nov. 29 low) and possibly to falling channel support seen sloping lower to $1,050 over the next few days. A violation there would expose support at $851.12 (Nov. 17 low).

Meanwhile, the 50-day MA of $2,195 could be put to test if the bulls defend the neckline support and prices quickly move above $1,806 (Jan. 22 high).

On a larger scheme of things, only a daily close (as per UTC) above $2,400 would revive the bull run. Such a move would confirm upside break of the falling channel pattern and could yield $2,900-$3,000.


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