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Turning Tide? Bitcoin Tops $7,000 As Price Pushes Up

Analysis of the bitcoin price charts suggests the tide is slowly turning in favor of the bulls, although $7,000 could be a stumbling block.

Nov 15, 2017
CoinDesk Insights

Bitcoin is maintaining a bid tone today, with prices testing the $7,000 mark.

As per the CoinDesk Bitcoin Price Index, the world's largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization rose to an intraday high of $7,009 at 11:25 UTC. At press time, the bitcoin-U.S. dollar (BTC/USD) exchange rate is around $7,007 levels. Data from CoinMarketCap indicates that bitcoin has gained nearly 6.74 percent in the last 24 hours.

The move marks a recovery of around 25 percent from bitcoin's recent lows near $5,000, though is still at least 10 percent short of the record highs above $7,800 hit last week.

Price action analysis suggests the tide is slowly turning in favor of the bulls, although the last major domino – the 61.8 percent Fibonacci retracement – is yet to fall.

Bitcoin chart

, bitcoin prices have moved higher after having consolidated above the key trendline level.

The chart above shows:

  • The 5-day moving average (MA) has bottomed out and is now curled up in favor of the bulls, courtesy of the price gains seen today.
  • Bitcoin is struggling to break above $6,986 (61.8 percent Fibonacci retracement of the recent sell-off).
  • The RSI has moved back above 50.00 (in the bullish territory) and is trending upwards.

View

Retracement levels are based on the prior move (sell-off from record highs) and alert traders or investors to a potential trend reversal.

A close above the 61.8 percent Fibonacci (Fib) retracement level of $6,986 would indicate a revival of the bull run and open the doors for a move towards the record highs above $7,800.

As long as bitcoin trades below 61.8 percent Fib level, the 29 percent rally from the recent lows near $5,000 would qualify as a "corrective rally" in a strong downtrend (sell-off from record highs).

Bear case scenario: Failure to close above the 61.8 percent Fib level followed by a drop below the rising trendline support (seen today at $6,555) would indicate the corrective rally has ended. Prices could then proceed to test the upward sloping 50-day MA seen today at $5,723.

4-hour chart

The price action detailed under the bear case scenario would only add credence to the bearish 50-MA and 100-MA crossover seen on the 4-hour chart above and strengthen the case for a drop to $5,750–$5,723.

Also, note that the 61.8 percent Fib level of $6,986 is closely aligned with the psychological barrier of $7,000. Thus, we can conclude that $7,000 is a "make or break" level to watch out for over the next day or two.

Ship's wheel image via Shutterstock

DISCLOSURE

The leader in news and information on cryptocurrency, digital assets and the future of money, CoinDesk is a media outlet that strives for the highest journalistic standards and abides by a strict set of editorial policies. CoinDesk is an independent operating subsidiary of Digital Currency Group, which invests in cryptocurrencies and blockchain startups.

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