Dykes chooses to view bitcoin and its road to mainstream adoption through this lens, noting that the payments industry has seen the rise and fall of a number of technologies – including QR codes and near-field communication (NFC) – that have promised to bring disruption and change overnight, only to be met with a long road to adoption or a cold shoulder by the industry.
As a result, Dykes told CoinDesk, the traditional payments industry is struggling to see how bitcoin will be able to gain wider adoption:
Dykes indicated that his ability to recognize this potential lead him to join the team at bitcoin mining services giant BitFury, which raised $20m in May from VC firms like Crypto Currency Partners and angel investor Bill Tai. BitFury manufactures mining hardware and computer chips, and recently completed a 20MW data center in the European country of Georgia.
Citing the company's impressive data centre presence and ability to provide low-cost transaction processing through its mining infrastructure, Dykes added:
Profit potential for payments space
Notably, Dykes suggested that one reason the traditional payments industry has been slow to react to bitcoin is that its businesses see bitcoin as a threat to their cost and profit structures.
His former employer VeriFone, for example, earned $436.1m in net revenue during Q1 2014 through products such as multimedia point-of-sale devices, mobile wallets and payment processing, all offerings that bitcoin aims to improve or replace.
However, Dykes said that over time, the opinion of his former industry will change because bitcoin will offer new ways for these companies to cut costs and generate revenue through their existing services.
Core to this belief is Dykes' assertion that the bitcoin industry is already generating significant revenue, a factor that provides a crucial advantage over past payments technologies:
Dykes said that this could prove to be an advantage to bitcoin that helps propel adoption faster than other types of payment technologies.
Despite his bullish beliefs about bitcoin's long-term prospects, Dykes suggested that the payment industry isn't likely to embrace bitcoin anytime soon, simply due to its historical resistance to technology.
Dykes told CoinDesk:
Dykes mentioned cross-border and e-commerce payments as two areas where bitcoin could gain a strong foothold. Elsewhere, he sees the technology becoming more widely used in the background, with established payments giants using bitcoin behind existing services.
"You're going to have bitcoin sitting behind a card with a logo on that card, and then [that brand] making a bitcoin wallet and bringing attention to it, so it will create some efficiency in the industry but it's not going to be a major change," he explained.
Bitcoin is at critical mass
Unlike many of his peers, Dykes said that he believes bitcoin has already reached a "critical mass" in the market, though he suggested that his definition may be different from other observers.
For example, he mentioned bitcoin processors and bitcoin debit card providers that are building on bitcoin's core infrastructure as evidence of this assertion, saying:
Still, he cautioned that bitcoin enthusiasts should temper their expectations even in light of his high praise for the industry.
Taking a long-term outlook, Dykes concluded:
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