A Closer Look at Market Cap-Weighted Crypto Portfolios

Crypto investment products are commonly weighted by market cap. We examine how a small adjustment to market-cap weighting methodologies may better align digital asset portfolios with their intended objectives.

AccessTimeIconMay 3, 2023 at 3:30 p.m. UTC
Updated May 9, 2023 at 4:13 a.m. UTC
10 Years of Decentralizing the Future
May 29-31, 2024 - Austin, TexasThe biggest and most established global event for everything crypto, blockchain and Web3.Register Now

Digital asset investment management stands to benefit greatly from the techniques and lessons learned in traditional finance. From portfolio construction methodologies to regulatory frameworks, leveraging best practices from decades of research in traditional asset management will help accelerate crypto’s broader adoption.

In certain ways unlike traditional asset classes, however, blockchain assets may warrant a closer look beyond familiar concepts. That includes using market capitalization as a weighting methodology for passive portfolios.

  • Digital Assets Are 'More Sensitive' to Interest Rate Hikes: Expert
    Digital Assets Are 'More Sensitive' to Interest Rate Hikes: Expert
  • Could Solana's SOL Hit $200 by Month End?
    Could Solana's SOL Hit $200 by Month End?
  • Genesis Set to Return $3B to Creditors; Craig Wright Lied to UK Court 'Extensively': Judge
    Genesis Set to Return $3B to Creditors; Craig Wright Lied to UK Court 'Extensively': Judge
  • Metaverse Lets Users 'Defy Gravity': VBG Founder
    Metaverse Lets Users 'Defy Gravity': VBG Founder
  • Portfolios across both traditional and digital asset classes often use market cap to determine how much to invest in each underlying asset. Doing so provides investors straightforward passive exposure to the overall market. For digital assets, though, complementing market cap with some measurement of a blockchain’s usage may enhance portfolio construction.

    You’re reading Crypto Long & Short, our weekly newsletter featuring insights, news and analysis for the professional investor. Sign up here to get it in your inbox every Wednesday.

    One way to do that is with total value locked (TVL), which represents the value of assets deposited on a blockchain. A higher TVL suggests greater economic activity and potentially better prospects of future activity or a larger active user base. (A lower TVL implies the opposite.)

    By taking the ratio of market cap-to-TVL (MC-TVL), we may glean a more fundamental sense of an asset’s utility beyond the superficial view from market cap, similar to how equity investors use ratios like price-to-book (P/B) to discern a stock’s value. A higher MC-TVL suggests an asset’s capitalization may be bloated, with a valuation that disproportionately exceeds its usage. Conversely, a lower MC-TVL may imply an undervalued blockchain, where markets haven’t yet priced in its activity.

    We ran a simulation on a top-10 index weighted by market cap versus one weighted by MC-TVL. The results are below:


    The MC-TVL approach produced better full-period returns in this hypothetical scenario, driven by outsized positive performance in 2021. Over the period, daily returns between the two had a 0.85 correlation, suggesting that while the weighting methodologies are similar (by design), meaningful differentiation still exists between them. Over the long run, integrating blockchain usage into passive products may improve overall market exposure and help investors better align themselves with crypto fundamentals.


    This experiment, while a highly simplified and mostly illustrative simulation, is intended to encourage more nuanced analyses of crypto-specific properties and how they can be integrated into portfolio construction. Despite limited backtest duration, over the long run lower MC-TVL may prove a useful indication of assets with greater network usage versus higher MC-TVL assets, whose size alone may not completely reflect their value within the digital asset universe.

    As crypto’s track record unfurls in real time and new, richer on-chain data emerges, investors should monitor how fundamentals-based adjustments to portfolio construction could assist digital asset investment management.

    Description of simulation: Data is for the period Jan. 1, 2021-March 31, 2023. These indexes represent hypothetical backtests rebalanced monthly and do not consider transaction costs or whether assets are feasibly investable. The indexes exclude stablecoins, wrapped/pegged tokens, centralized exchange tokens and any assets that have not received a price in the last 365 days. Indexes only include proof-of-stake assets for which TVL data is readily available. “Market cap” refers to the circulating market cap of an asset. TVL includes all forms of how assets are used, or “locked” on a chain, including staked deposits, unstaked assets held in wallets, assets sitting in DeFi protocols, dapps, or smart contracts and so on. This article only summarily describes TVL, but there are ways it can be further quantified and more richly defined. This hypothetical backtest has been prepared by Truvius solely for illustrative purposes. Truvius makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of this information or its construction and shall not have any liability for any representations (expressed or implied) regarding information contained in, or for any omissions from, this information. Past returns do not guarantee future performance.

    Edited by Nick Baker.


    Please note that our privacy policy, terms of use, cookies, and do not sell my personal information has been updated.

    CoinDesk is an award-winning media outlet that covers the cryptocurrency industry. Its journalists abide by a strict set of editorial policies. In November 2023, CoinDesk was acquired by the Bullish group, owner of Bullish, a regulated, digital assets exchange. The Bullish group is majority-owned by Block.one; both companies have interests in a variety of blockchain and digital asset businesses and significant holdings of digital assets, including bitcoin. CoinDesk operates as an independent subsidiary with an editorial committee to protect journalistic independence. CoinDesk employees, including journalists, may receive options in the Bullish group as part of their compensation.

    Connor Farley

    Connor is CEO and Co-Founder of Truvius, an investment platform bringing systematic, theme-driven portfolios to digital assets.

    Max Freccia

    Max is a Co-Founder and the COO/CFO at Truvius, an investment platform bringing systematic, theme-driven portfolios to digital assets.

    Learn more about Consensus 2024, CoinDesk's longest-running and most influential event that brings together all sides of crypto, blockchain and Web3. Head to consensus.coindesk.com to register and buy your pass now.