Finance Headed Toward Bank-Free, Decentralized Future: Bernstein

Bank-free decentralized finance will be a trillion-dollar asset pool with over $40 billion in revenue by 2028, a report from the firm said.

AccessTimeIconMar 10, 2023 at 10:54 a.m. UTC
Updated May 9, 2023 at 4:10 a.m. UTC

The future of finance will be bank-free, Bernstein said in a research report Friday. Banks will still exist, but in the background as “custodians of old wealth.”

“New wealth creation and financial-services innovation will move to a new financial app universe on the Ethereum ecosystem,” analysts Gautam Chhugani and Manas Agrawal wrote.

A revival of decentralized finance (DeFi) is in the works, one that is “far more sustainable, scalable, transparent and with improving token economics,” the report said. DeFi is an umbrella term for a variety of financial applications carried out on a blockchain.

Bernstein estimates that by 2028, bank-free DeFi will have revenue of $40 billion and total assets will grow to $1 trillion from about $65 billion now. It forecasts $5 trillion in assets over the next decade due to rapid adoption.

The next generation of DeFi will be built on a layer 2 network that is scalable with 95% lower transaction costs and products that generate real revenue and sustainable yields rather than being driven by token incentives, the note said.

Layer 2 refers to separate blockchains built on top of layer 1 chains that reduce bottlenecks with scaling and data. Layer 1 is the base layer or the underlying infrastructure of a blockchain.

DISCLOSURE

Please note that our privacy policy, terms of use, cookies, and do not sell my personal information has been updated.

The leader in news and information on cryptocurrency, digital assets and the future of money, CoinDesk is a media outlet that strives for the highest journalistic standards and abides by a strict set of editorial policies. CoinDesk is an independent operating subsidiary of Digital Currency Group, which invests in cryptocurrencies and blockchain startups. As part of their compensation, certain CoinDesk employees, including editorial employees, may receive exposure to DCG equity in the form of stock appreciation rights, which vest over a multi-year period. CoinDesk journalists are not allowed to purchase stock outright in DCG.

Author placeholder image

Will Canny is CoinDesk's finance reporter.


Learn more about Consensus 2024, CoinDesk’s longest-running and most influential event that brings together all sides of crypto, blockchain and Web3. Head to consensus.coindesk.com to register and buy your pass now.


Read more about