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Polymarket

Columbia University President Minouche Shafik, left (Alex Wong/Getty Images)
Markets
Analysis
Polymarket Odds Say Columbia University President Will Keep Job
Continuing pro-Palestine protests won't lead to Minouche Shafik having a fate similar to Claudine Gay, who was recently forced to resign as Harvard's president, the prediction...
Columbia University President Minouche Shafik, left (Alex Wong/Getty Images)
By Sam Reynolds
Apr 22, 2024 at 2:23 p.m. UTC
Apr 22, 2024
AnalysisPrediction MarketsPolymarketKalshi
Polymarket Traders Bet on Fed Rate Cuts; Bitcoin Spot ETFs Register Five-Day Withdrawals Streak
Video
Cdtv
Polymarket Traders Bet on Fed Rate Cuts; Bitcoin Spot ETFs Register Five-Day Withdrawals Streak
"CoinDesk Daily" host Jennifer Sanasie breaks down the biggest headlines impacting the crypto industry today, as U.S.-based spot bitcoin (BTC) exchange-traded funds registered...
Polymarket Traders Bet on Fed Rate Cuts; Bitcoin Spot ETFs Register Five-Day Withdrawals Streak
By CoinDesk Staff
Apr 19, 2024 at 4:12 p.m. UTC
Apr 19, 2024
cdtvETFTetherUSDTTONPolymarketCd daily
(Jesse Hamilton/CoinDesk)
Markets
Polymarket
Polymarket Traders See 32% Chance of No Fed Rate Cuts This Year
The hawkish shift in the market sentiment could dampen the demand for risk assets, including cryptocurrencies and technology stocks.
(Jesse Hamilton/CoinDesk)
By Omkar Godbole
Apr 19, 2024 at 6:56 a.m. UTC
Apr 19, 2024
PolymarketBitcoinMarketsFederal Reserve
A C-17 Globemaster III from the 437th Air Wing, Charleston Air Force Base, S.C., air delivery pallets of water and food to Mirebalais, Haiti, Jan 21, 2010 to be distributed by the members of the United Nations. Department of Defense assets have been deployed to assist in the Haiti relief effort following a magnitude 7 earthquake that hit the city on Jan. 12, 2010. (U.S. Air Force photo/Tech. Sgt. James L. Harper Jr.)
Markets
Analysis
Which Crypto Projects Will Airdrop Next? Prediction Markets Are Placing Bets
Eigenlayer has a 66% chance of sending users free tokens by June 30, the odds on Polymarket signal. Plus: Kalshi lands a big Wall Street account.
A C-17 Globemaster III from the 437th Air Wing, Charleston Air Force Base, S.C., air delivery pallets of water and food to Mirebalais, Haiti, Jan 21, 2010 to be distributed by the members of the United Nations. Department of Defense assets have been deployed to assist in the Haiti relief effort following a magnitude 7 earthquake that hit the city on Jan. 12, 2010. (U.S. Air Force photo/Tech. Sgt. James L. Harper Jr.)
By Shaurya Malwa
Apr 8, 2024 at 1:32 p.m. UTC
Apr 8, 2024
AnalysisPrediction MarketsAirdropsPolymarket
(CoinDesk Indicies)
Markets
Bitcoin
Bitcoin Back Down to $66K as Rising Treasury Yields Catch Investor Interest
Prediction markets and CME's Fed Watch Tool have virtually ruled out a rate cut until later this year
(CoinDesk Indicies)
By Sam Reynolds
Apr 3, 2024 at 5:06 a.m. UTC
Apr 3, 2024
BitcoinbtcCMEPolymarket
Donald J. Trump at a rally (Gerd Altmann, modified by CoinDesk)
Markets
Analysis
Who Will Trump Pick for Veep? Polymarket Gives Tim Scott Best Odds: Prediction Markets
Plus: Free money? "Democrat wins New York" contract trades at 90 cents on the dollar.
Donald J. Trump at a rally (Gerd Altmann, modified by CoinDesk)
By Sam ReynoldsShaurya Malwa
Apr 1, 2024 at 1:16 p.m. UTC
Apr 1, 2024
AnalysisPrediction MarketsPolymarketDonald Trump
Blockchain's fortune tellers have no more a crystal ball than in any other sphere of life. But these predictions are as good as any. (Francis Hayman/Metropolitan Museum of Art, modified by CoinDesk)
Technology
Polymarket
How Many Years Will SBF Get? Jury's Out on Betting Platform Polymarket
Plus: Tesla's delivery numbers will fall short of record, Kalshi traders signal; "Ghostbusters" fandom underestimated.
Blockchain's fortune tellers have no more a crystal ball than in any other sphere of life. But these predictions are as good as any. (Francis Hayman/Metropolitan Museum of Art, modified by CoinDesk)
By Sam Reynolds
Mar 25, 2024 at 12:56 p.m. UTC
Mar 25, 2024
PolymarketPrediction MarketsSam Bankman-FriedAnalysis
President Trump Delivers Remarks in New Orleans; Jan 14, 2019
Markets
Analysis
Nearly $100M Wagered on U.S. Presidential Election on Polymarket
Bettors on the crypto-based prediction market platform see a clear path to victory for Trump, and are bullish on Ethereum's ETH hitting an all-time high in 2024 – just not bef...
President Trump Delivers Remarks in New Orleans; Jan 14, 2019
By Sam ReynoldsShaurya Malwa
Mar 18, 2024 at 1:49 p.m. UTC
Mar 18, 2024
AnalysisPrediction MarketsPolymarketDonald Trump
U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission Chairman Rostin Behnam says his agency is working on a new proposal for prediction markets regulation. (Jesse Hamilton/CoinDesk)
Policy
Regulations
U.S. CFTC's Behnam Says Agency Writing New Policy on Prediction Markets
Companies such as PredictIt and Kalshi would get "regulatory clarity" under rule in coming months, according to the chairman of the derivatives regulator.
U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission Chairman Rostin Behnam says his agency is working on a new proposal for prediction markets regulation. (Jesse Hamilton/CoinDesk)
By Jesse Hamilton
Mar 12, 2024 at 2:26 p.m. UTC
Mar 12, 2024
RegulationsKalshiPrediction MarketsPredictItPolymarketCommodity Futures Trading Commission
Betting on a new bitcoin record. (Kurt Cotoaga/Unsplash)
Markets
Betting
MOON Holder Makes 550% on Predictions Platform Polymarket as Bitcoin Moves Above $50K
The trader had bought the Yes side shares of the now-expired Polymarket-based betting contract "Will BTC hit $50,000 in February?"
Betting on a new bitcoin record. (Kurt Cotoaga/Unsplash)
By Omkar Godbole
Feb 13, 2024 at 10:51 a.m. UTC
Feb 13, 2024
BettingPolymarketredditMarkets