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Polymarket

Speculators are overwhelmingly betting on bitcoin ETF approval by Jan. 15. (Pixabay)
Markets
Trading
'Deniers Are Crypto's Flat Earthers' as Markets Flash 83% Odds of Bitcoin ETF Approval
The popular Polymarket market bet “Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?” has attracted almost $1 million in volume from hundreds of users.
Speculators are overwhelmingly betting on bitcoin ETF approval by Jan. 15. (Pixabay)
By Shaurya Malwa
Jan 4, 2024 at 8:52 a.m. UTC
Jan 4, 2024
TradingMarketsBitcoinBitcoin ETFBettingPolymarket
Bitcoin Price Bursts Above $45K; Sei Network’s SEI Token Rallies
Video
Cdtv
Bitcoin Price Bursts Above $45K; Sei Network’s SEI Token Rallies
"CoinDesk Daily" host Jennifer Sanasie takes a closer look at the latest headlines moving the crypto markets, including why the price of bitcoin (BTC) has started 2024 on a ro...
Bitcoin Price Bursts Above $45K; Sei Network’s SEI Token Rallies
By CoinDesk Staff
Jan 2, 2024 at 4:43 p.m. UTC
Jan 2, 2024
cdtvbtcEVMPolymarketCd dailySei
(Edgar Degas/Metropolitan Museum of Art, modified by CoinDesk)
Markets
Polymarket
Polymarket Traders See 89% Chance of SEC Approving Spot BTC ETF by Jan. 15
Some investors have bought the "No side shares" of the prediction contract to hedge against potential delays in the SEC's approval of spot ETFs.
(Edgar Degas/Metropolitan Museum of Art, modified by CoinDesk)
By Omkar Godbole
Jan 2, 2024 at 12:27 p.m. UTC
Jan 2, 2024
PolymarketBitcoinETF
A Taiwanese police car (swat_hk/Flickr)
Policy
Taiwan
Taiwanese Authorities Investigating Blockchain Betters over Polymarket Election Contract: Report
The Presidential and Vice Presidential Election and Recall Act specifically prohibits gambling on elections.
A Taiwanese police car (swat_hk/Flickr)
By Sam Reynolds
Dec 15, 2023 at 4:50 p.m. UTC
Dec 15, 2023
TaiwanPolymarket
Prediction markets generate more accurate forecasts than other methods. (Bettmann/Getty Images)
Markets
Openai
Polymarket Traders Betting on Sam Altman's Fate Have Become Bipolar
24 hours ago, prediction markets were almost certain that Altman wouldn't be back as OpenAI's CEO. Now the market's answer to that question has changed twice.
Prediction markets generate more accurate forecasts than other methods. (Bettmann/Getty Images)
By Sam Reynolds
Nov 21, 2023 at 7:33 a.m. UTC
Nov 21, 2023
OpenaiSam AltmanPolymarket
Sam Altman at Village Global's The Grove in 2022 (Village Global/Flickr)
Markets
Openai
OpenAI CEO Drama Makes a Market for Blockchain Betters
Over $250,000 in liquidity was built up in prediction market contracts on Polymarket over the weekend, from the serious to the absurd.
Sam Altman at Village Global's The Grove in 2022 (Village Global/Flickr)
By Sam Reynolds
Nov 20, 2023 at 7:44 a.m. UTC
Nov 20, 2023
OpenaiSam AltmanMarketsPolymarket
Prediction markets generate more accurate forecasts than other methods. (Bettmann/Getty Images)
Markets
Bitmex
BitMEX's Prediction Market Is Now Live
Current prediction market contracts revolve around FTX bankruptcy claim recoveries, the future of bitcoin ETFs, and Sam Bankman-Fried’s jail sentence.
Prediction markets generate more accurate forecasts than other methods. (Bettmann/Getty Images)
By Sam Reynolds
Sep 13, 2023 at 5:42 a.m. UTC
Sep 13, 2023
BitMEXPrediction MarketsPolymarket
How Blockchain Bettors View the 2024 U.S. Election
Video
Cdtv
How Blockchain Bettors View the 2024 U.S. Election
Users of blockchain-based prediction market Polymarket have put up nearly $5 million so far to bet on the outcome of the Republican presidential nomination race. Polymarket di...
How Blockchain Bettors View the 2024 U.S. Election
By CoinDesk Staff
Aug 29, 2023 at 3:47 p.m. UTC
Aug 29, 2023
cdtvFM ClipPolymarketHarry jones
Republican presidential candidate Vivek Ramaswamy at a press conference during Bitcoin 2023 in Miami Beach, Florida (Frederick Munawa)
Policy
Republican
After GOP Debate, Blockchain Bettors See Ramaswamy as Most Formidable Trump Challenger
Betting lines didn’t change much as a result of Wednesday’s debate, but the Bitcoin-friendly entrepreneur has edged out Florida governor Ron DeSantis this past week in the GOP...
Republican presidential candidate Vivek Ramaswamy at a press conference during Bitcoin 2023 in Miami Beach, Florida (Frederick Munawa)
By Sam Kessler
Aug 24, 2023 at 5:46 p.m. UTC
Aug 24, 2023
RepublicandebateBettingPolymarketTrumpRon DeSantis
Kalshi will have a prediction contract weighed by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. (Jesse Hamilton/CoinDesk)
Policy
Regulations
CFTC to Review Prediction Market Kalshi’s Contracts to Bet on Control of Congress
The U.S. derivatives regulator has scheduled a June 26 meeting to discuss starting another review to evaluate whether to approve Kalshi’s event contracts.
Kalshi will have a prediction contract weighed by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. (Jesse Hamilton/CoinDesk)
By Jesse Hamilton
Jun 16, 2023 at 10:57 p.m. UTC
Jun 16, 2023
RegulationsPrediction MarketsBettingPredictItPolymarketCommodity Futures Trading Commission