Elon Musk Will Likely Remain Tesla CEO, and Tweet Non-Stop: Prediction Markets
Also: Trump faces likely conviction, per Polymarket punters; CFTC hearing to discuss political betting ban.
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May 6, 2024 at 12:34 p.m. UTC
May 6, 2024
Prediction Markets
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Binance's CZ Will Spend Less Than a Year in Prison, Polymarket Traders Bet
Also, the CFTC wants to bar Americans from betting on elections – even though it's already illegal in most U.S. states.
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Apr 29, 2024 at 2:15 p.m. UTC
Apr 29, 2024
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Polymarket Odds Say Columbia University President Will Keep Job
Continuing pro-Palestine protests won't lead to Minouche Shafik having a fate similar to Claudine Gay, who was recently forced to resign as Harvard's president, the prediction...
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Apr 22, 2024 at 2:23 p.m. UTC
Apr 22, 2024
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Free Money? Polymarket Bet Pays 8.7% if China Doesn't Invade Taiwan
Betting against an invasion on the prediction market may yield almost 7x as much as Taiwan government bonds. Plus: Mideast turmoil barely changes U.S. presidential odds.
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Apr 15, 2024 at 1:44 p.m. UTC
Apr 15, 2024
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Which Crypto Projects Will Airdrop Next? Prediction Markets Are Placing Bets
Eigenlayer has a 66% chance of sending users free tokens by June 30, the odds on Polymarket signal. Plus: Kalshi lands a big Wall Street account.
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Apr 8, 2024 at 1:32 p.m. UTC
Apr 8, 2024
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Who Will Trump Pick for Veep? Polymarket Gives Tim Scott Best Odds: Prediction Markets
Plus: Free money? "Democrat wins New York" contract trades at 90 cents on the dollar.
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Apr 1, 2024 at 1:16 p.m. UTC
Apr 1, 2024
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How to Design Better On-Chain Governance
An introduction to Futarchy and combinatorial prediction markets.
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Mar 27, 2024 at 4:22 p.m. UTC
Mar 27, 2024
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How Many Years Will SBF Get? Jury's Out on Betting Platform Polymarket
Plus: Tesla's delivery numbers will fall short of record, Kalshi traders signal; "Ghostbusters" fandom underestimated.
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Mar 25, 2024 at 12:56 p.m. UTC
Mar 25, 2024
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Nearly $100M Wagered on U.S. Presidential Election on Polymarket
Bettors on the crypto-based prediction market platform see a clear path to victory for Trump, and are bullish on Ethereum's ETH hitting an all-time high in 2024 – just not bef...
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Mar 18, 2024 at 1:49 p.m. UTC
Mar 18, 2024
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Prediction Market Kalshi to Take Bets on Crypto (Settled in Dollars)
The CFTC-regulated platform will let traders bet on how high ETH will go this year and other price outcomes amid renewed interest in both crypto and prediction markets.
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Mar 18, 2024 at 2:41 a.m. UTC
Mar 18, 2024