Prediction Markets

(Alex Wong/Getty Images)
Prediction Markets' Time Has Come, but They Aren't Ready for It
After the pundits so badly misjudged the 2016 U.S. presidential election, prediction markets should be booming ahead of Nov. 3. Why aren’t they?
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5 Years After Launch, Predictions Market Platform Augur Releases Version 2
Augur v2 has all the bells and whistles: Interplanetary File System (IPFS), 0x Mesh, MakerDAO’s dai and Uniswap’s v2 oracle network.
(Atul Vinayak/Unsplash)

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Augur's Revamped Predictions Platform Launches Next Month With a New Token
The blockchain predictions platform is upgrading to version 2 in July, but users will have to migrate to a new token if they want to use it.
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Richard Craib, Numerai's founder, speaks in New York City, April 2019.
This USV-Backed Startup Has a Solution for Buying Information With Confidence
Erasure is a smart contract on Ethereum for people to share information and to express confidence about that information by putting money behind it.
Richard Craib, Numerai's founder, speaks in New York City, April 2019.

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Startup Veil Forks Augur to Create Prediction Markets for 2020 Election
Veil says no one has been able to support long-running markets on Augur, so they're creating AugurLite for early bets on the presidential election.
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Paradigm co-founder Fred Ehrsam speaks at Token Summit II. (Credit: Brady Dale for CoinDesk)
Numerai Token Sale Raises $11 Million From VC Firms Paradigm, Placeholder
Hedge fund and predictions market startup Numerai just closed an $11 million round led by Paradigm and Placeholder.
Paradigm co-founder Fred Ehrsam speaks at Token Summit II. (Credit: Brady Dale for CoinDesk)

Photo by CoinDesk
LedgerX Unveils Betting Market for 2020's Bitcoin Block Reward Halving
The bitcoin block reward will be cut in half next year – and soon, market watchers can place bets on exactly when the subsidy halving will happen.
Photo by CoinDesk

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Augur Interface Veil Acquires Search Engine for Prediction Markets
Veil has acquired Predictions.Global, the leading site for exploring Augur data.
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U.S. Capitol, Washington, D.C. (lazyllama/Shutterstock)
US Elections Push Augur's Total Ether Bets Over $2 Million
Betting on elections to the U.S. House has brought over $700,000 onto the platform, pushing the midterms market into the top spot.
U.S. Capitol, Washington, D.C. (lazyllama/Shutterstock)

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CFTC Official Warns Smart Contract Designers Over Predictive Code
Smart contract coders could be held liable for providing predictive "event contracts" on a blockchain, a CFTC commissioner has said.
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