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Prediction Markets

Clay Graubard, Co-Founder, Baserate.io and Andrew Eaddy, Co-Founder, Baserate.io
Consensus Magazine
Consensus 2022
Wanna Bet? Crypto Prediction Markets Could Be a New ‘Source of Truth’
Andrew Eaddy and Clay Graubard made the case for empowering individuals through technology as trust in institutions declines.
Clay Graubard, Co-Founder, Baserate.io and Andrew Eaddy, Co-Founder, Baserate.io
By Xinyi Luo
Jun 11, 2022 at 10:40 p.m. UTC
Jun 11, 2022
Consensus 2022CryptoPrediction Markets
Prediction markets generate more accurate forecasts than other methods. (Bettmann/Getty Images)
Consensus Magazine (layer2)
Consensus 2022
Forecasting, Prediction Markets and the Age of Better Information
Quantified forecasting is an invaluable and yet underused tool, and prediction markets appear a vital tool for its adoption.
Prediction markets generate more accurate forecasts than other methods. (Bettmann/Getty Images)
By Clay GraubardAndrew Eaddy
Jun 4, 2022 at 3:59 p.m. UTC
Jun 4, 2022
Consensus 2022Prediction Markets
(Getty Images/Tetra Images RF)
Finance
Prediction markets
Polymarket Introduces New Information Markets After CFTC Fine, but Not for US Traders
The decentralized predictions marketplace received a $1.4 million fine from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission.
(Getty Images/Tetra Images RF)
By Cheyenne Ligon
Jan 24, 2022 at 8:05 p.m. UTC
Jan 24, 2022
Prediction MarketsCFTCUnited States
(Quino Al/Unsplash)
Markets
Defi
‘Wen Token?’: Polymarket’s New Airdrop Futures Market Has Answers
Speculators can now bet on whether big-name crypto projects will airdrop a native token in Q1 2022.
(Quino Al/Unsplash)
By Tracy Wang
Jan 14, 2022 at 9:32 p.m. UTC
Jan 14, 2022
DeFiPrediction MarketsPolygon
(Aedrian/Unsplash)
Policy
Cftc
The CFTC vs. the Truth
If Polymarket can crowdsource a more accurate rendering of reality, then shouldn’t the greatest number of people be able to access it?
(Aedrian/Unsplash)
By Daniel Kuhn
Oct 28, 2021 at 7:10 p.m. UTC
Oct 28, 2021
CFTCRegulationOpinionThe NodeNewslettersPrediction Markets
(Unsplash, modified by CoinDesk)
Finance
Prediction markets
Largest DeFi Prediction Market Polymarket Said to Be Under Investigation by CFTC: Report
The report of the probe comes as the company is said to be in talks to raise money at a nearly $1 billion valuation.
(Unsplash, modified by CoinDesk)
By Kevin Reynolds
Oct 23, 2021 at 4:57 p.m. UTC
Oct 23, 2021
Prediction MarketsCFTC
(George Chernilevsky/Wikimedia Commons)
Markets
Solana
Solana-Based Prediction Market Uses DeFi Yields to Finance ‘No Loss’ Betting
Hedgehog’s experimental wagers combine prediction markets with stablecoins, decentralized finance and gamification.
(George Chernilevsky/Wikimedia Commons)
By Marc Hochstein
Sep 28, 2021 at 1:00 p.m. UTC
Sep 28, 2021
SolanaHedgehog MarketsPrediction MarketsUSDC
Erin O'Toole, leader of Canada's Conservative Party, left, debates Justin Trudeau, Canada's prime minister, during a federal leaders' debate in Gatineau, Quebec, Canada, on Wednesday, Sept. 8, 2021. It will be a tight race between Prime Minister Trudeau and Tory Leader O'Toole as the campaigns enter the final stretch ahead of the Sept. 20 vote, which the Liberals triggered in hopes of regaining the parliamentary majority they lost in 2019's election. (Justin Tang/Canadian Press/Bloomberg via Getty Images)
Markets
Newsletters
How the Prediction Markets Are Wagering on Canada’s Election
The odds favor a Trudeau reelection but not a Liberal majority, according to prices on blockchain-based Polymarket and centralized platform PredictIt.
Erin O'Toole, leader of Canada's Conservative Party, left, debates Justin Trudeau, Canada's prime minister, during a federal leaders' debate in Gatineau, Quebec, Canada, on Wednesday, Sept. 8, 2021. It will be a tight race between Prime Minister Trudeau and Tory Leader O'Toole as the campaigns enter the final stretch ahead of the Sept. 20 vote, which the Liberals triggered in hopes of regaining the parliamentary majority they lost in 2019's election. (Justin Tang/Canadian Press/Bloomberg via Getty Images)
By Lawrence Lewitinn
Sep 19, 2021 at 3:50 p.m. UTC
Sep 19, 2021
NewslettersCrypto Long & ShortElectionsCanadaPrediction Markets
Hedgehog is the latest dapp to build on Solana.
Finance
Prediction markets
Hedgehog Markets Raises $3.5M in Funding Round
The company is testing what will be the first predictions platform on Solana's blockchain.
Hedgehog is the latest dapp to build on Solana.
By Cheyenne Ligon
Jul 27, 2021 at 2:31 p.m. UTC
Jul 27, 2021
Prediction MarketsSolanaSam Bankman-Fried