Bitcoin (BTC) continued its ascension on Monday, rising 3% on average volume. The largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization surpassed $24,000 earlier in the day and remained above that threshold in the afternoon.
BTC’s hourly charts (below) show that the bulk of the push higher occurred between 10 a.m. and 12 p.m. UTC time before the price steadied.
Bitcoin's gains have for the most part dovetailed with traditional markets. On Monday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.09%. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite Index, meanwhile, fell 0.10% and the S&P 500 slipped 0.12%. Correlations between BTC and the three indexes remain above 0.60, indicating a strong relationship between BTC price movements and stocks.
Correlations range between -1 and 1, with higher figures signaling a stronger relationship. Investors often consider those correlations when the price movement in one group of assets outpaces the price movement in another.
Because BTC’s spike occurred outside of U.S. trading hours, traders may be watching whether the cryptocurrency's price continues to align with equities.
Ether (ETH) was recently up 3.5%. Most of the increase also came during overnight hours in the U.S.
Altcoins rose, as well, with avalanche (AVAX) up 2% and chainlink (LINK), up 9%.
●Bitcoin (BTC): $23,929 +3.1%
●Ether (ETH): $1,784 +4.1%
●S&P 500 daily close: 4,140.06 −0.1%
●Gold: $1,806 per troy ounce +1.9%
●Ten-year Treasury yield daily close: 2.77% −0.07
Bitcoin, ether and gold prices are taken at approximately 4pm New York time. Bitcoin is the CoinDesk Bitcoin Price Index (XBX); Ether is the CoinDesk Ether Price Index (ETX); Gold is the COMEX spot price. Information about CoinDesk Indices can be found at coindesk.com/indices.
Bitcoin’s hourly chart moves into overbought territory, reverses course intraday
Investors continued to eye hourly and daily charts for signs of the crypto market’s future direction, which remains on tenterhooks amid mixed economic data. BTC’s hourly chart showed significant trading activity from 10 a.m. to noon (UTC) on above-average volume.
During that period, bitcoin rose about 3% with U.S. markets opening to bitcoin trading over $24,000. The 10-period relative strength index (RSI) rose to 83 as bitcoin’s price increased. RSI is a technical indicator that measures price momentum.
Readings below 30 imply that an asset is oversold, while a reading above 70 implies that an asset is overbought. BTC prices appear to have retreated following the RSI reading of 83 that occurred during the 4 a.m. candle. A candle is a visual image on charts to describe a price hike.
Bitcoin’s daily chart provides additional context to today’s move
BTC prices should continue to advance along a trendline noted in the Aug. 3 Market Wrap. BTC’s price could crack $28,000, although investors shouldn’t interpret that market as a price target.
Trendlines can be useful to traders in determining the direction and strength of a price move, particularly when used in conjunction with other technical indicators.
The trendline here is being used jointly with the RSI. The overbought reading (see chart above) showed an overbought reading of 70, but the daily chart shows a reading of 60, which falls below the overbought threshold.
BTC prices appear to have retraced from their sharp uptick in early morning trading, while maintaining what appears to be a general uptrend that began around July 13.
Derivatives markets also indicate a positive sentiment
BTC funding rates have turned positive again, following a brief turn negative on Aug. 3. Funding rates represent payments to traders who are long or short bitcoin. Those payments serve as a proxy for market sentiment.
A positive funding rate implies that traders who wish to be long BTC (have a positive view of the digital currency) are willing to pay traders who are short (have a negative view). Negative funding rates imply the reverse.
All told, positive funding rates often imply that crypto traders are bullish. BTC funding rates have been positive for all but five days since July 1.
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