Good morning, and welcome to First Mover. I’m Bradley Keoun, here to take you through the latest in crypto markets, news and insights. (Lyllah Ledesma is off.)
- Price point: Bitcoin heads for longest daily losing streak since mid-2016, and $1 billion of trading positions get liquidated ("rekt" in crypto-speak).
- Market Moves: The Fed starts its two-day closed-door meeting, and Wall Street analysts are growing increasingly negative; Bybit releases its "first-ever Bear Market Guide for traders."
Some $1 billion of cryptocurrency futures contracts and derivatives were liquidated due to margin calls over just 24 hours.
"This is very bad, especially for those holding their coins there, but also for the industry as a whole," wrote Mati Greenspan, founder of the cryptocurrency and foreign-exchange analysis firm Quantum Economics, wrote Monday in a newsletter. "There isn't much optimism right now. It's been a very brutal bear market."
European shares traded lower on Tuesday, but U.S. stock futures appeared to be bouncing prior to the open of trading in New York. Gold was down 0.5% to $1,823 an ounce; crude oil rose 1% to $122 a barrel.
The 10-year U.S. Treasury bond yield was down a 0.06 percentage point to 3.31%.
The Federal Reserve's campaign to tighten monetary conditions – to help contain inflation running at its fastest in four decades – has put extreme pressure on assets across the board, from cryptocurrencies to stocks and bonds.
The U.S. central bank starts a two-day closed-door meeting on Tuesday, and traders are speculating over its likely decision, to be announced Wednesday at 2 p.m. ET.
Fed officials had telegraphed the likelihood of a 0.5 percentage point increase, but now some analysts are warning that a hike of 0.75 percentage point or even a full percentage point might be in the cards.
The "S-word" (stagflation) is on the lips of investors: "We believe we're moving toward an environment of persistent high inflation coupled with weak real growth. In other words, stagflation," Kyle Delaney, president of the giant hedge fund Bridgewater, wrote in a communiqué to investors.
Fitch, the bond-rating service, cut its estimate of global gross domestic product growth in 2022 by 0.6 percentage point to 2.9%. "Global inflation pressures continue to intensify, with increasingly adverse implications for the growth outlook," wrote Brian Coulton, Fitch's chief economist.
Underscoring the theme du jour, the crypto exchange Bybit unveiled its "first-ever Bear Market Guide for traders."
"Featuring a contemporary design that draws inspiration from popular culture, the guide shares a pool of resources that can help investors put the bear market situation into perspective," Bybit said in a press release from Seychelles.
In the current economic environment, what else is there for a trader to do?
- Morgan Stanley Says Ether Underperformance Echoes Crypto Downturn of 2018 Expectations of higher Fed interest rates are weighing on crypto prices, the bank's analysts said.
- Cryptos See Over $1B in Liquidations as Bitcoin, Ether Lose Major Support Levels Bitcoin lost the $25,000 level, while ether briefly slid to nearly $1,200.
- Web 3 Service Provider ScienceMagic.Studios Raises $10.3M From Coinbase Ventures, DCG, Others ScienceMagic.Studios aims to help early-stage Web 3 companies create a brand and engage in communities.
- NY City Mayor Eric Adams Wants State's Governor to Veto 2-Year Moratorium on PoW Mining: Report The city's pro-crypto mayor plans to ask Gov. Kathy Hochul to veto a bill that would stop proof-of-work mining for two years.
Today’s newsletter was edited by Bradley Keoun and produced by Parikshit Mishra.
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