Evidence is growing that a recent rally in bitcoin prices may be nearing its end.
At press time, bitcoin is trading at $5,700, up 2.5% over the last 24 hours as per CoinMarketCap. Week-on-week, the crypotcurrency is up 19%, while on a monthly basis it is up 52%.
As for the specific reasons for the increase, pundits and observers are still struggling to identify a catalyst for the blast above the psychological hurdle of $5,000. However, one of the more plausible theories is that many are buying bitcoins on hopes that a hard fork in November might end up creating money out of the thin air.
For now, though, it appears as though the bulls are having a breather.
But while possibly deserved, it's worth noting they risk losing control in the short term if prices close today below the previous day's low of $5,455.
The chart shows:
The stochastic oscillator is a chart analysis indicator that helps determine where a trend might be ending, while "hanging man" forms at the end of an uptrend and is created when there is notable sell-off (prices dropped to $5,455 yesterday) but bulls are able to push the prices near their opening levels.
In this case, the underlying asset (in this case bitcoin) eventually closes with marginal losses, while the resulting candlestick resembles a hanging man with dangling legs.
The candlestick following the hanging man should close below the low of the hanging man candle ($5,455). It would confirm a short-term bullish-to-bearish trend change.
- A close below $5,455 today would indicate the rally has found a temporary top at $5,867 (Oct. 13 high). The cryptocurrency could then revisit $5,100-$5,000 levels.
- On the other hand, a break above $5,867 (Oct. 13 high) could see prices test $6,000 levels.
- Caution is still advised as indicators signal short-term overbought conditions.
Steam gauge via Shutterstock
The leader in news and information on cryptocurrency, digital assets and the future of money, CoinDesk is a media outlet that strives for the highest journalistic standards and abides by a strict set of editorial policies. CoinDesk is an independent operating subsidiary of Digital Currency Group, which invests in cryptocurrencies and blockchain startups. As part of their compensation, certain CoinDesk employees, including editorial employees, may receive exposure to DCG equity in the form of stock appreciation rights, which vest over a multi-year period. CoinDesk journalists are not allowed to purchase stock outright in DCG.