STX Perpetual Futures Open Interest Doubles to $80M as Traders Take Shorts

One analyst suspects traders are betting there isn't a follow-up to Bitcoin NFTs and the STX run is a flash in the pan.

AccessTimeIconFeb 27, 2023 at 2:42 p.m. UTC
Updated Feb 27, 2023 at 3:41 p.m. UTC
10 Years of Decentralizing the Future
May 29-31, 2024 - Austin, TexasThe biggest and most established global hub for everything crypto, blockchain and Web3.Register Now

Bitcoin layer 2 Stack Network's STX token on Monday rose to a fresh nine-month high of 97 cents, bringing its month-to-date gain to 220%. The Ordinals-driven rally, however, failed to impress derivatives traders.

Data from Coinglass shows the funding rates in the perpetual futures market tied to STX remained negative even as open interest, or the dollar value locked in the number of active perpetual futures contracts, doubled to $80 million.

In other words, new money entering the perpetual futures market amid the continued price rally is betting on a reversal. The negative funding rate – the cost of holding bullish long/bearish short positions in perpetuals – implies that leverage is skewed on the bearish side.

"It could be a case of traders fading the hype of STX and shorting, largely due to the return of deeply negative after every price rally in the last week," Conor Ryder, research analyst at Paris-based Kaiko, told CoinDesk. "I suspect traders are betting that there isn't a follow-up to Bitcoin NFTs and this is more of a flash in the pan."

Stacks Network, focused on unleashing Bitcoin's potential as a programmable blockchain, has been the beneficiary of the non-fungible token (NFT) on Bitcoin fever kicked off by the launch of the Ordinals protocol on Jan. 21. Ordinals are NFT-like art references inscribed on a satoshi, the lowest denomination of bitcoin (BTC).

Funding rates have been consistently negative during recent price rally. (Coinglass)
Funding rates have been consistently negative during recent price rally. (Coinglass)

Per Ryder, the negative funding rates could also be due to STX being a relatively illiquid token.

"As funding rates are the difference between spot and futures, when spot prices surge disproportionately more than derivatives, often due to illiquidity, this can cause funding to move deeply negative," Ryder said.

Another possibility is that some traders, who bought STX in the spot market early this month, sold perpetual futures to lock in profits on the long spot position and bypass potential price volatility over the coming days.

Disclosure

Please note that our privacy policy, terms of use, cookies, and do not sell my personal information has been updated.

CoinDesk is an award-winning media outlet that covers the cryptocurrency industry. Its journalists abide by a strict set of editorial policies. In November 2023, CoinDesk was acquired by the Bullish group, owner of Bullish, a regulated, digital assets exchange. The Bullish group is majority-owned by Block.one; both companies have interests in a variety of blockchain and digital asset businesses and significant holdings of digital assets, including bitcoin. CoinDesk operates as an independent subsidiary with an editorial committee to protect journalistic independence. CoinDesk employees, including journalists, may receive options in the Bullish group as part of their compensation.

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole is a Co-Managing Editor on CoinDesk's Markets team.


Learn more about Consensus 2024, CoinDesk's longest-running and most influential event that brings together all sides of crypto, blockchain and Web3. Head to consensus.coindesk.com to register and buy your pass now.